« Katu Poll Shows Dozono/Adams Level | Main | Dozono and Adams Double Header »
I told you those tips were cryptic—I ended up down in SoWa, looking for a press conference or publicity stunt.
ANYWAY.
The full poll results are here.
The 39-38 percent split is a statistical tie. If the poll’s accurate and only 10 percent are undecided, and no voters switch to the other candidate, that would mean neither Dozono nor Adams wins outright in May, and we’re looking at a runoff.
Some highlights:
Younger voters like Adams, older voters like Dozono. People of color break just slightly for Dozono, while whites break just slightly for Adams. Woman prefer Adams, men prefer Dozono (by 41 percent each way). Adams gets 43 percent of Democrats to Dozono’s 35 percent. Republicans go for Dozono by 59 percent, and for Adams by 18 percent. The conservative-moderate-liberal split is the same—the more liberal, the more for Adams, the more conservative, the more for Dozono.
The Adams’ campaign just sent out a statement, and it’s after the cut. I’ve got a call in to the Dozono campaign to get their take on the numbers. (UPDATE: Dozono’s response is after the cut now, too.)
According to poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV by SurveyUSA, “Liberals back Adams. Conservatives back Dozono”Among voters who say schools are the most important issue for Portland's next mayor, Adams leads by 14 points.
“The poll does clarify what is at stake in the race: My support is coming from people who care about schools and who share Portland’s progressive values. Sho clearly is drawing his support from conservatives. There is a definite contrast here, and I think that as the campaign continues, that will be good for us,” Adams said.Jennifer Yocom, Adam’s campaign manager, had this to say: “It’s healthy for the city to have real choices for Mayor and we’ve been expecting a good contest. As these results demonstrate, there are clear differences between Sam and Sho. The poll clearly shows that people interested in a progressive future that includes strong schools support Sam. To those voters who have the progressive values that we have built this city on, the message is clear: vote.”
Sho's Got the Big MoMayoral candidate Sho Dozono has the momentum he needs to move ahead and win
in May, according to a poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV by SurveyUSA. The poll revealed that Dozono has 38 percent of the vote - up from 20 percent in February's KPTV Channel 12/Portland Tribune poll, while his opponent's numbers have remained flat."I am excited because this shows that people are interested and involved in this election," Dozono said. "It shows that people believe we need a Mayor with a fresh perspective. It's time to demand more accountability from government and spend our resources much more wisely to make Portland an even better place in which to live and work. Residents want a mayor they can believe in, someone they can trust to do the right thing."
Dozono is running a real grassroots campaign. In the last few months he has reached out to thousands of voters by attending dozens of house parties, participating in numerous debates and public appearances, and canvassing neighborhoods in every corner of the city.
In the last two weeks, he has raised nearly $100,000, closing the money gap with his opponent, who was once widely expected to simply walk into the mayor's seat.
"As Mayor, I will focus on spending your money wisely, Portland's economy, creating good jobs, and getting our public schools the resources they need so that Portland remains a great place to live for our children and grandchildren" Dozono said.
For more information on Dozono's campaign or to get involved, visit
www.shoformayor.com
Specifics on why Sham sucks:
Shoe is a PBA puppet.
Sam Adams has spent the last 4 years running for mayor, while accomplishing almost nothing, apart from being the most aloof of all the commissioners (i.e., the only one who would not return my calls when I had a concern, which was exactly twice in the last two years). I mean, if booze-nose Potter, Dan Saltman, dear Randy Leonard, and Eric Sten all had the gumption to at least call me back (or write me back, or have a staffmember do so), why the fuck couldn't Sham? Could it be because all of his staff were busy writing promo bits for commissionersam.com?
Anyways, I am convinced that Matt would make a fine mayor (at least in a commissioner form of government, not in an imperial mayor/city manager situation!)
I'll wait until Tim Hibbits issues his poll thank you very much. SurveyUSA is only one shot in the darkness at this point.
you're upset because they were too busy to respond to your crazy email? That he pays his staff to work on issues rather than "toilet joe's" concerns? Gimme a break.
I think I know why he didn't call you back, you must have addressed it to "Sham Adams". His name is SAM Adams. I know I thought there was a silent H there too for a while when I was in the fourth grade...
You have to admit "Dan Saltman" is a great nickname—because he's always salting my buzz!
I'm glad it's a real race. Now I just hope Sam wins! If he can come back from 15 points behind like in his council race, he should be able to do it.