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Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Transportation NW Gas Consumption Unchanged Since 1999

Posted by Alex Zielinski on Wed, Sep 14, 2011 at 5:29 PM

According to a recent Sightline study, Northwesterners' gas consumption has remained relatively constant since 1999, despite population growth. It seems that Oregon and Washington drivers were unfazed by the rocky economy over the 12-year time frame, at least when it came to filling up a tank. It's also interesting to compare this steady information with the volatile spike in gas prices (gas was around $1.50 a gallon in 1999) over the years. It looks like it takes a lot for a driver to stop gas guzzling (at a constant rate, that is).

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That being said, the study also reveals that vehicle travel has been on the decline since 2002. Also, a 2009 Sightline study shows that in Portland (as opposed to the entire NW region) gas consumption has been on the decline.

The study bases this constant data on a variety of factors including the introduction of more fuel-efficient vehicles and the fact that Baby Boomers are retiring from "peak driving ages". One slightly depressing reason: "Many young Americans prefer to drive less, choosing instead to navigate their social interactions online rather than by driving." I was hoping they would throw in some more upbeat young American statistic based on bicycle use, but no dice.

While declining or constant gas consumption is essentially good for our neck of the woods, the report's press release illustrates the potential downfalls:

The trend has big implications for transportation finance. Oregon and Washington are both considering major bridge, tunnel, and highway megaprojects, and are counting on robust gas tax revenue to help pay for them. Falling gasoline sales and fewer miles traveled could lead to revenue shortfalls, placing transportation finance in jeopardy.

Why does being above average have to lead to less support? A pat on the back doesn't always suffice. Bunk.

 

Comments (6) RSS

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1
Less use requires less infrastructure, all this study says to me is that it is quite clear that we don't need to build a 4+ billion dollar megabridge that we can't afford anyway.
Posted by econoline on September 14, 2011 at 6:42 PM · Report
2
Wait, so the rapid growth of gas consumption has leveled off for a decade despite population growth, but the conclusion is that drivers have been "unfazed" by the economy? Doesn't the leveling off indicate the opposite?
Posted by Ovidius on September 15, 2011 at 7:37 AM · Report
3
From the report "The last decade’s steady consumption coincides with an era of increasingly expensive and volatile fuel prices. " This implies that higher gas prices have been one a key factor in the reduction in per capita gas consumption.

So I guess @2 Ovidius +1 on that point.
Posted by Tony Fuentes on September 15, 2011 at 8:09 AM · Report
4
Ovidius definitely has it right. I don't see how a chart showing 'total gallons sold' is of interest to anyone who doesn't own a gas station. We need one that shows 'gallons used per capita' to actually track usage trends.
Posted by Reymont on September 15, 2011 at 10:04 AM · Report
5
They're discussing Oregon and Washington in total. Bike usage would be insignificant on that scale, regardless of how bad you want Smirk to notice you.
In any case, the graphic that needed to be published was the "per capita" chart that's also available in the report, which shows the actual DECLINE in fuel consumption. So cheer up! Despite the insignificant contribution of bicycling, northwesterners are still using less gas! Woot Woot!
Posted by orgengine on September 15, 2011 at 10:14 AM · Report
6
And for comparison, we'd also need a graph of miles driven per capita. Because that will tell us how much is due to less driving, and how much is due to less inefficient cars.
Posted by Stu on September 15, 2011 at 10:39 AM · Report

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